NFL Week 7 – The Duke’s Picks

17 10 2008

by Michael DeLuca

Forget Brandon Lang.  Who needs Bob Valentino.  And those quote unquote experts over at Sportsline…laughable.  The Duke’s picks is an amazing 23-16 against the spread thus far this NFL season with six winning weeks out of seven.  Last week, I gave you the Cardinals over Dallas, told you Green Bay would roll over the Seahawks, and of course the Jets were going to cover against the Bengals.  So, forgot calling that 1-900 number.  Put your credit card away.  The Duke’s here and he’s got the best picks on the planet…or at least the cheapest.  Home teams are in caps, Duke’s Picks are in bold.

San Diego Chargers -2 BUFFALO BILLS – You may not know who Jyles Tucker is, but that doesn’t make him any less important.  You see, Tucker is the guy who replaced Shawne Merriman, and he’s good.  He is, however, most likely going to miss his third consecutive week and the defense will continue to suffer as a result.  Chris Chambers and Craig Davis are both out on the offensive side of the ball, while Antonio Gates and LaDainian Tomlinson remain hobbled.  The Bills are home and should be angry after their defeat to the Arizona Cardinals in week 5.  Trent Edwards appears ready to return. 

Pittsburgh Steelers -9.5 CINCINANATI BENGALS – Pittsburgh’s offensive line isn’t good enough to warrant giving this many points to any team, nonetheless doing so on the road. 

Tennessee Titans -7 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS – This pick goes against the grain for me as I rarely pick against KC in KC.  They’ve already demonstrated this year the magical effects of their home advantage in the blowout defeat of the Denver Broncos.  But the Titans are no longer under the radar and with the Giants losing on Monday Night, they can stake a legitimate claims to league’s best with a victory on Sunday.  If the motivation factor isn’t enough, the fact the Brodie Croyle gets the start.  His career record is 0-7.

Dallas Cowboys -7 ST. LOUIS RAMS – I don’t care if it’s Tony Romo, Brad Johnson, Ron Jaworski, or Scott Bakula quarterbacking the Cowboys.  They’ve  got enough weapons on the receiving end that the guy chucking it shouldn’t matter.  The Rams are among the league’s worst in pass defense.  Furthermore, I can’t imagine Jim Haslett having 2 successful weeks in a row.

HOUSTON TEXANS -9 Detroit Lions -Look, there are very few ways to get me behind the Lions.  But a team with 1 victory, that came on a 4th down shotgun QB draw (I called it), shouldn’t be favored by 9 over anyone.  I don’t care who the Lions just traded away, who’s playing quarterback, or who may or may not be injured, the Lions should be able to keep it close.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS -10 Cleveland Browns – Cleveland’s offense seemed back on track Monday, Kellen will be back in the lineup, and the defense seems to be playing well for the first time since Cleveland was given it’s team back.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -3.5 Denver Broncos – The question is, as in every Denver game, can Jay Cutler score more than the defense gives up.  Against the aging Patriots defense, my guess is yes.

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2 responses

18 10 2008
Tom Peters

Two issues:

1. You are seriously underestimating the Texans. This is a team that could easily be 3-2 maybe even 4-1. They’ve lost a lot of close games and Detroit is terrible.

2. Pittsburgh has been injured as of late and they are coming off a bye. Plus this is a Bengals team thatlast eek did not get a first down until the 2:00 warning in the first half and only got it’s other first downsin times of despreation against a highly overrated Jets team.

19 10 2008
Michael DeLuca

Tom:
1. I actually thought the Texans might be a playoff team coming into the season. They really disapointed me with their opening game against the Steelers. That one was a real stinker. Every game they’ve played since then has been very competitive, I just can’t lay 9 with a team that barely has one win.

2. Pittsburgh has been injured as of late, true. I think their biggest injury is to Kendall Simmons. That line was already weak. Again, another game where I just think the spread is too high.

Last week you were dead on with the Vikings, let’s hope I can take one of these two. :-)

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