Thinking About the Off-Season Again…..

18 09 2008

by John Ryan

As the 2008 season winds down, the Phillies appear to be in a great position to make the playoffs again, and have back-to-back post-season appearances for the first time since 1984. With that being said, there is always room for discussion about the Phillies off-season plans and whom they may target. Pitching will obviously be a major priority, as well it should be. Call me crazy, but I don’t see the Phillies chasing down a C.C. Sabathia, and will probably not target Ben Sheets or A.J. Burnett either.

There are some other options available though. The name that comes to mind most is Derek Lowe. Lowe, a free agent at the end of the year, would be an ideal fir for the Phillies. For starters, he’s a starter, and a mildly effective one at that. Second, the Phillies targeted Lowe at the end of the 2004 season when he won a World Series with the Red Sox. And finally, chew on these numbers: This year he is 14-11 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. He has only given up 14 HR’s in 201.1 IP, and has a .248 BAA. While it’s true he has struggled away from Dodger stadium, it is largely due to a poor start in May. His ERA was never above 4 after May (in which he posted an ugly 6.06 ERA) and he owns a career post-season ERA of 3.36. A stat head? Here’s more: He owns a career 3.27 ground ball to fly ball ratio which is ideal for Citizens Bank Park, averages almost a double play per start.

While Lowe is not the best name available, he certainly would be a great fit in Philadelphia for a few more reasons. First, he made 10 million this year, which is the same amount paid out to Freddy Garcia for only 1 win and 10 starts. (Oh by the way: He hasn’t missed a start in the 7 full seasons since he converted to a full time starter. And, if he implodes, he can go back to the pen where he enjoyed mild success).

Lowe also has pitched in Boston and Los Angeles, two major markets where baseball matters. Joe Torree and Terry Francona are both player’s managers (much like Charlie Manuel). At age 35 (36 next season) Lowe may only command say another ten million over three years which is mighty reasonable especially for a guy with a career 3.77 ERA and a non-power pitcher who could very well pitch into his 40’s. If the Phillies fail to land Sabathia, Sheets, or Burnett they could do worse than Lowe. After all, Freddy Garcia is a free agent again next season and he looked good Wednesday night.

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4 responses

18 09 2008
Michael DeLuca

I love Lowe and think he would be a great fit.

18 09 2008
Kevin Collins

Lowe’s sinker would be a great fit at CBP

18 09 2008
Michael Gill

I like Lowe and think he would be a good fit. He has a good sinker and has always seemed to be on winning teams.

Figures Freddy Garcia pitched well last night…that burns my ass!

19 09 2008
awyeahdude

this is cool- its not definite that lowe will be good every year like he has been this year, but to get another awesome year from lowe in philly- that would be more than awesome. keep throwin that sinker derek dog

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